Will AA1862 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Orlando · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
same answer since Phoenix time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:59≈10:20Phoenix time
Lands16:15≈16:23Orlando time
As of 03:19, AA1862 should push back about 10:20 (scheduled 09:59) and land about 16:23 (scheduled 16:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual morningAA1862's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possible at OrlandoFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 95% chance of rain at Orlando today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
Phoenix is backing up0% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Phoenix+5
Leaves≈205 to 75
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈8
weather at PhoenixAmerican Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
usually 1 in 46Check again 06:59Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
9on time
8late
8very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1862 Phoenix to Orlando left within 15 minutes of schedule on 9 of its last 26 flights, usually 24 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It was cancelled once.