Will AA1869 be delayed today?
Miami → Guayaquil José Joaquín de Olmedo · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Maybe, by about 3 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:14≈19:17
Lands22:43≈22:34
As of 13:19, AA1869 should push back about 19:17 (scheduled 19:14) and land about 22:34 (scheduled 22:43).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningAA1869's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane is on timeN302US is coming from Basseterre, due 18:05−1
Thunderstorms possible at GuayaquilFrom the TAF: thunder 61% likely, 97% chance of rain at Guayaquil today+1
Miami is running smoothly15% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
American is running well today21% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 5 min early−2
FAA delays at MiamiFAA delays at Miami, about 30 min−1
Leaves≈3−3 to 20
Made up in the air−12
Lands≈−9
weather at Miamistorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:05Miami time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
25on time
16late
14very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1869 Miami to Guayaquil left within 15 minutes of schedule on 25 of its last 55 flights, usually 16 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 30. It wasn't cancelled once.