Will AA1951 be delayed today?
Phoenix → San Diego · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Very likely, by about 70 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:20≈15:30
Lands15:39≈16:41
As of 15:19, AA1951 should push back about 15:30 (scheduled 14:20) and land about 16:41 (scheduled 15:39).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈70 min
A usual afternoonAA1951's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 73 min latePhoenix departures board+68
Leaves≈7070 to 103
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈60
weather at Phoenixweather at San Diegodepartures at PhoenixAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 71Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
51on time
22late
12very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA1951 Phoenix to San Diego left within 15 minutes of schedule on 51 of its last 86 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 34. It was cancelled once.