Will AA2249 be delayed today?
Miami → Nassau Lynden Pindling · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:05≈12:20
As of 11:39, AA2249 should push back about 12:20 (scheduled 12:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonAA2249's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane is hereN829NN landed from Houston, 153 min behind schedule+1
The board already shows 15 min lateMiami departures board+12
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 84% chance of rain at Miami today+1
Miami is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−2
American is running well today14% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 12 min early−4
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈1510 to 30
weather at Nassaustorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
62on time
13late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2249 Miami to Nassau left within 15 minutes of schedule on 62 of its last 90 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 28. It wasn't cancelled once.