Will AA2411 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
same answer since San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave about 7 minutes late, around 08:47.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:40≈08:47San Francisco time
Lands11:50≈11:56Phoenix time
As of 01:49, AA2411 should push back about 08:47 (scheduled 08:40) and land about 11:56 (scheduled 11:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningAA2411's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your planeNot assigned yet1
On time on the board so farSan Francisco departures board−1
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom our forecast: thunder 46% likely, 97% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 100% 15+ min late3
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Francisco+4
Leaves≈7−4 to 27
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈6
weather at San Franciscodepartures at San FranciscoAmerican Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 05:40San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
19on time
0late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2411 San Francisco to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 20 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 1. It wasn't cancelled once.