Will AA2421 be delayed today?
Phoenix → San Diego · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:35≈17:42
Lands18:52≈18:53
As of 11:59, AA2421 should push back about 17:42 (scheduled 17:35) and land about 18:53 (scheduled 18:52).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual eveningAA2421's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
More rain than usual at San DiegoFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at San Diego today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 0% 15+ min late+1
Phoenix is backing up38% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈7−1 to 26
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈1
American todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 14:35Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
29on time
6late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2421 Phoenix to San Diego left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 43 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.