Will AA2443 be delayed today?
Miami → Raleigh-Durham · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Very likely, by about 35 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:45≈15:21
Lands17:01≈17:26
As of 10:19, AA2443 should push back about 15:21 (scheduled 14:45) and land about 17:26 (scheduled 17:01).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈35 min
A usual afternoonAA2443's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane is running lateN807NN is 72 min behind from Houston, due 14:36+11
The board already shows 26 min lateMiami departures board+25
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 84% chance of rain at Miami today+1
Miami is running smoothly14% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
American is running well today11% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 14 min early; yesterday this flight left 15 min early−5
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈3520 to 41
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈25
weather at Raleigh-Durhamstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 192Check again 14:36Miami time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
12on time
2late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2443 Miami to Raleigh-Durham left within 15 minutes of schedule on 12 of its last 18 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It wasn't cancelled once.