Will AA2454 be delayed today?
Orange County → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Orange County time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:23≈13:39
Lands14:50≈15:04
As of 12:19, AA2454 should push back about 13:39 (scheduled 13:23) and land about 15:04 (scheduled 14:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonAA2454's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AA2454 from Phoenix, due 12:33+10
Calmer than usual at Orange CountyFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈15−1 to 43
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈15
weather at Phoenixdepartures at Orange CountyAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 12:33Orange County time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
69on time
9late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2454 Orange County to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 86 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.