Will AA2471 be delayed today?
Phoenix → John Wayne Orange County · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:06.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves≈17:06
Lands18:26≈18:23
As of 15:19, AA2471 should push back about 17:06 (scheduled 17:06) and land about 18:23 (scheduled 18:26).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈0 min
A usual eveningAA2471's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−2
Phoenix is backing up42% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈0−6 to 11
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈−3
weather at Phoenixweather at Orange CountyAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:21Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
68on time
8late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2471 Phoenix to Orange County left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 87 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.