Will AA2538 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Charlotte Douglas · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:05≈14:12
Lands21:17≈21:14
As of 14:49, AA2538 should push back about 14:12 (scheduled 14:05) and land about 21:14 (scheduled 21:17).
Why ≈7 min
A usual afternoonAA2538's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−4
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
Phoenix is backing up26% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈7−6 to 33
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−3
weather at CharlotteAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
13on time
9late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2538 Phoenix to Charlotte left within 15 minutes of schedule on 13 of its last 25 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.