Will AA2829 be delayed today?
New York → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated New York time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:00≈11:42
Lands15:26≈15:20
As of 00:19, AA2829 should push back about 11:42 (scheduled 12:00) and land about 15:20 (scheduled 15:26).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈18 min early
A usual afternoonAA2829's typical departure, last 90 days−16
Your planeNot assigned yet0
American is running well today30% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 25 min early; yesterday this flight left 26 min early−2
Leaves≈−18−25 to −14
Lost in the air+12
Lands≈−6
weather at New Yorkweather at Phoenixdepartures at New Yorkstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:00New York time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
75on time
1late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA2829 New York to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 75 of its last 82 flights, usually 25 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.