Will AA2857 be delayed today?
Miami → Curaçao Hato · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Probably, by about 25 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:40≈11:04
As of 10:59, AA2857 should push back about 11:04 (scheduled 10:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈25 min
A usual morningAA2857's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane is hereN118NN landed from Boston−3
The board already shows 20 min lateMiami departures board+21
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 84% chance of rain at Miami today+1
Miami is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Your plane was swappedThe airline has changed the aircraft 2 times, last 4 hours ago+1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈2517 to 29
weather at CuraçaoAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
64on time
19late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA2857 Miami to Curaçao left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 90 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.