Will AA309 be delayed today?
Miami → Augusto C. Sandino (Managua) · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Very likely, by about 60 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:51≈11:51
As of 10:59, AA309 should push back about 11:51 (scheduled 10:51).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈60 min
A usual morningAA309's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your plane is hereN831NN landed from Havana+2
The board already shows 54 min lateMiami departures board+48
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 84% chance of rain at Miami today+1
Miami is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−3
American is running well today11% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 7 min early−3
Your plane was swappedThe airline changed the aircraft for this flight 7 hours ago+1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈6051 to 67
weather at Managuastorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 68Last 90 days
47on time
21late
18very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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AA309 Miami to Managua left within 15 minutes of schedule on 47 of its last 87 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 39. It was cancelled once.