Will AA3204 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Lagos Murtala Muhammed · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Very likely, by about 70 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:02≈20:10
As of 17:19, AA3204 should push back about 20:10 (scheduled 19:02).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈70 min
A usual eveningAA3204's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 58 min latePhoenix departures board+54
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
American is running late today27% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 23 min late+2
Leaves≈7060 to 79
weather at Lagosdepartures at PhoenixFAA plan for todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:17Phoenix time
Last 90 days
23on time
15late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA3204 Phoenix to Lagos left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 41 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It wasn't cancelled once.