Will AA3257 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Tucson · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:53≈16:03
Lands16:47≈16:59
As of 11:59, AA3257 should push back about 16:03 (scheduled 15:53) and land about 16:59 (scheduled 16:47).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonAA3257's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AA1783 from Omaha, 15 min behind, due 15:167
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−1
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
Phoenix is backing up38% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
American is running late today29% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 26 min late+2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈10−3 to 22
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈10
weather at Tucsonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:16Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
20on time
3late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA3257 Phoenix to Tucson left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 26 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It wasn't cancelled once.