Will AA3384 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Lubbock Preston Smith · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines · as AA4267
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:05≈19:10
As of 17:19, AA3384 should push back about 19:10 (scheduled 19:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningAA3384's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−3
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
FAA plan for todayThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Phoenix−1
Leaves≈5−2 to 22
weather at Lubbockdepartures at PhoenixAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:20Phoenix time
Last 90 days
18on time
5late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA3384 Phoenix to Lubbock left within 15 minutes of schedule on 18 of its last 26 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.