Will AA3454 be delayed today?
Chicago → Northwest Arkansas National · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:30≈11:27
As of 01:49, AA3454 should push back about 11:27 (scheduled 11:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual morningAA3454's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 9
weather at Northwest Arkansasdepartures at ChicagoAmerican Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:30Chicago time
Last 90 days
45on time
9late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA3454 Chicago to Northwest Arkansas left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 64 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.