Will AA357 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Philadelphia · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Very likely, by about 40 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:45≈16:24
Lands23:17≈23:41
As of 14:29, AA357 should push back about 16:24 (scheduled 15:45) and land about 23:41 (scheduled 23:17).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈40 min
A usual afternoonAA357's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AA2454 from Orange County, 25 min behind, due 15:15+4
The board already shows 34 min latePhoenix departures board+26
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
Leaves≈4031 to 51
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈25
weather at Philadelphiadepartures at PhoenixAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:15Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
57on time
18late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA357 Phoenix to Philadelphia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 57 of its last 84 flights, usually 2 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It wasn't cancelled once.