Will AA3951 be delayed today?
Tucson → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
same answer since Tucson time
Unlikely. It should leave about 5 minutes late, around 16:12.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:07≈16:12
Lands17:08≈17:15
As of 15:59, AA3951 should push back about 16:12 (scheduled 16:07) and land about 17:15 (scheduled 17:08).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Tucson; AA3951 is new to us2
Your plane is on timeN253NN is coming from Phoenix, due 15:370
On time on the board so farTucson departures board−2
Thunderstorms possibleFrom the TAF: thunder 31% likely, 97% chance of rain at Tucson today1
Thunderstorms possible at PhoenixFrom the TAF: thunder in the TAF, 97% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 46% 15+ min late+1
American is running late today36% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 28 min late+3
Leaves≈5−3 to 23
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈7
departures at TucsonFAA plan for todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
