willmyflightbedelayed?

Will AA3956 be delayed today?

Washington → Buffalo Niagara · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines

same answer since Washington time

Unlikely. It could leave early, around 16:12.

It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.

No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves16:18≈16:12
Lands17:51≈17:41

As of 18:59, AA3956 should push back about 16:12 (scheduled 16:18) and land about 17:41 (scheduled 17:51).

Why ≈6 min early

A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Washington; AA3956 is new to us2
Your plane is hereN239NN landed from Northwest Arkansas−2
On time on the board so farWashington departures board−2
Calmer than usual at WashingtonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
American is running well today43% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 17 min early−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−6−19 to 11
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−10

weather at Buffalodepartures at Washingtonstorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

usually 1 in 175

Meeting someone?

Link preview: AA3956 lands about 17:41