Will AA4086 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Northwest Arkansas National · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Maybe, by about 8 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:01≈16:09
As of 14:29, AA4086 should push back about 16:09 (scheduled 16:01).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈8 min
A usual afternoonAA4086's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−3
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
Leaves≈8−1 to 25
weather at Northwest Arkansasdepartures at PhoenixAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:16Phoenix time
Last 90 days
64on time
12late
9very late
1cancelled
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AA4086 Phoenix to Northwest Arkansas left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 86 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It was cancelled once.