Will AA416 be delayed today?
Miami → Jacksonville · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves22:38≈22:45
Lands23:52≈23:53
As of 19:39, AA416 should push back about 22:45 (scheduled 22:38) and land about 23:53 (scheduled 23:52).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual nightAA416's typical departure, last 90 days−4
Your plane is running lateN715UW is 26 min behind from Raleigh-Durham, due 22:19+13
On time on the board so farMiami departures board−1
Miami is running smoothly23% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈7−5 to 20
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈1
weather at Miamiweather at JacksonvilleAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 196Check again 22:19Miami time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
59on time
16late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA416 Miami to Jacksonville left within 15 minutes of schedule on 59 of its last 85 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 26. It wasn't cancelled once.