Will AA4404 be delayed today?
New York → Madison Dane County Truax Field · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated New York time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:29≈18:04
As of 00:49, AA4404 should push back about 18:04 (scheduled 18:29).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈25 min early
A usual eveningAA4404's typical departure, last 90 days−21
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at New YorkFrom our forecast: dry today−1
American Airlines is running well today32% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 26 min early; yesterday this flight left 27 min early−3
Leaves≈−25−25 to −17
weather at Madisondepartures at New Yorkstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 63Check again 15:29New York time
Last 90 days
50on time
9late
12very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4404 New York to Madison left within 15 minutes of schedule on 50 of its last 74 flights, usually 19 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It was cancelled 3 times.