Will AA447 be delayed today?
Miami → Belize City Philip S. W. Goldson · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Miami time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:05≈12:01
As of 09:39, AA447 should push back about 12:01 (scheduled 12:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual afternoonAA447's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane is on timeN997NN is coming from Guatemala City, due 10:47−1
On time on the board so farMiami departures board−1
Miami is running smoothly14% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−4−9 to 1
weather at Miamiweather at Belize CityAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 69Check again 10:47Miami time
Last 90 days
64on time
18late
4very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA447 Miami to Belize City left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 87 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It was cancelled once.