Will AA4478 be delayed today?
Portland → Chicago O'Hare · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Portland time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:45≈17:41
Lands19:46≈19:36
As of 18:19, AA4478 should push back about 17:41 (scheduled 17:45) and land about 19:36 (scheduled 19:46).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual eveningAA4478's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA4478 from Chicago, due 17:15−1
On time on the board so farPortland departures board−1
Calmer than usual at PortlandFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈−4−9 to 1
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈−10
weather at Chicagodepartures at PortlandAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
23on time
2late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4478 Portland to Chicago left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 26 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It wasn't cancelled once.