Will AA4492 be delayed tomorrow?
Chicago → Louisville Muhammad Ali · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 05:59.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves05:59≈05:52
Lands08:35≈08:22
As of 17:19, AA4492 should push back about 05:52 (scheduled 05:59) and land about 08:22 (scheduled 08:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min early
A usual morningAA4492's typical departure, last 90 days−6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA4424 from Grand Rapids, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−7−9 to 3
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈−13
weather at Louisvilledepartures at ChicagoAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 172Check again tomorrow 02:59Chicago time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
25on time
1late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4492 Chicago to Louisville left within 15 minutes of schedule on 25 of its last 26 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 1. It wasn't cancelled once.