Will AA4504 be delayed today?
Chicago → Philadelphia · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:59.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:59≈19:56
Lands23:23≈23:06
As of 17:39, AA4504 should push back about 19:56 (scheduled 19:59) and land about 23:06 (scheduled 23:23).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual eveningAA4504's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA4648 from Grand Rapids, which left on time−1
On time on the board so farChicago departures board−1
Chicago is running smoothly28% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−3−6 to 6
Made up in the air−14
Lands≈−17
weather at Chicagoweather at PhiladelphiaAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 19:14Chicago time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
59on time
14late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4504 Chicago to Philadelphia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 59 of its last 84 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.