Will AA4512 be delayed today?
Boston → St. Louis Lambert · Fri 30 Oct · American Airlines
updated Boston time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:25≈15:17
Lands17:39≈17:33
As of 18:19, AA4512 should push back about 15:17 (scheduled 15:25) and land about 17:33 (scheduled 17:39).
Why ≈8 min early
A usual afternoonAA4512's typical departure, last 90 days−1
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AA4494 from Washington, which has landed+3
On time on the board so farBoston departures board−3
Calmer than usual at BostonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Boston is running smoothly0% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−5
FAA plan for todayThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Boston−1
Leaves≈−8−14 to 15
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈−6
weather at St LouisAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 50Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
15on time
8late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S