Will AA4538 be delayed today?
New York → Washington National · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated New York time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:20≈08:57
Lands10:51≈10:41
As of 00:49, AA4538 should push back about 08:57 (scheduled 09:20) and land about 10:41 (scheduled 10:51).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈23 min early
A usual morningAA4538's typical departure, last 90 days−19
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at New YorkFrom our forecast: dry today−1
New York is running smoothly10% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
American Airlines is running well today32% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 24 min early−2
Leaves≈−23−26 to −11
Lost in the air+13
Lands≈−10
weather at Washingtonstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 06:20New York time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
61on time
6late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4538 New York to Washington left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 78 flights, usually 19 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.