Will AA464 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Sacramento · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:16.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:16≈18:21
Lands20:16≈20:14
As of 09:49, AA464 should push back about 18:21 (scheduled 18:16) and land about 20:14 (scheduled 20:16).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningAA464's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom our forecast: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
Phoenix is backing up9% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
FAA delays at PhoenixFAA delays at Phoenix, about 30 min−2
Leaves≈5−3 to 20
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−2
weather at SacramentoAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:16Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
61on time
11late
14very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA464 Phoenix to Sacramento left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 86 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 25. It wasn't cancelled once.