willmyflightbedelayed?

Will AA478 be delayed today?

New York → Miami · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines

updated New York time

Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:14.

No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›
Leaves08:14≈08:00
Lands11:41≈11:33

As of 00:49, AA478 should push back about 08:00 (scheduled 08:14) and land about 11:33 (scheduled 11:41).

Boarding still follows the original schedule.

Why ≈14 min early

A usual morningTypical for this time of day at New York; AA478 is new to us−14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at New YorkFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Thunderstorms possible at MiamiFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 95% chance of rain at Miami today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 25% 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈−14−17 to 0
Lost in the air+6
Lands≈−8

departures at New YorkAmerican Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes

Cancelled? < 1 in 200

usually 1 in 196

Check again 05:14New York time

Meeting someone?

Link preview: AA478 lands about 11:33

Other New York → Miami flights today