Will AA478 be delayed tomorrow?
Philadelphia → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:45≈09:41
Lands08:51≈08:42
As of 16:19, AA478 should push back about 09:41 (scheduled 09:45) and land about 08:42 (scheduled 08:51).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual morningAA478's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA2129 from Miami, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−4−10 to 4
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈−9
weather at Phoenixdepartures at PhiladelphiaAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 21:00Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
74on time
7late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA478 Philadelphia to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 86 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.