Will AA491 be delayed tomorrow?
Miami → Washington National · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Miami time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves05:27≈05:16
Lands08:09≈07:50
As of 18:19, AA491 should push back about 05:16 (scheduled 05:27) and land about 07:50 (scheduled 08:09).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈11 min early
A usual morningAA491's typical departure, last 90 days−10
Your planeNot assigned yet. We usually see it from about 19:000
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder 32% likely, 95% chance of rain at Miami tomorrow+1
American is running well today21% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 7 min early; yesterday this flight left 23 min early−2
Leaves≈−11−17 to −5
Made up in the air−8
Lands≈−19
weather at Washingtondepartures at Miamistorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 90
usually 1 in 36Check again 19:00Miami time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
80on time
4late
2very late
3cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA491 Miami to Washington left within 15 minutes of schedule on 80 of its last 89 flights, usually 8 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It was cancelled 3 times.
