Will AA4913 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Albuquerque Sunport · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Maybe, by about 9 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:16≈16:25
Lands18:37≈18:41
As of 10:19, AA4913 should push back about 16:25 (scheduled 16:16) and land about 18:41 (scheduled 18:37).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual afternoonAA4913's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
More rain than usual at AlbuquerqueFrom the TAF: 84% chance of rain at Albuquerque today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 33% 15+ min late+1
Phoenix is backing up25% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
FAA delays at PhoenixFAA delays at Phoenix, about 60 min−2
Leaves≈90 to 26
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈4
American todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 13:16Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
65on time
15late
6very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4913 Phoenix to Albuquerque left within 15 minutes of schedule on 65 of its last 86 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.