Will AA4969 be delayed today?
San Jose → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated San Jose time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:11.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves≈16:11
Lands18:06≈17:59
As of 18:19, AA4969 should push back about 16:11 (scheduled 16:11) and land about 17:59 (scheduled 18:06).
Why ≈0 min
A usual afternoonAA4969's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA4969 from Phoenix, due 15:42+2
On time on the board so farSan Jose departures board−1
Calmer than usual at San JoseFrom the TAF: dry today−1
American is running well today26% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 18 min early−2
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at Phoenix+1
Leaves≈0−14 to 3
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−7
weather at Phoenixdepartures at San Josestorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
12on time
0late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4969 San Jose to Phoenix left within 15 minutes of schedule on 12 of its last 15 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It wasn't cancelled once.