Will AA4971 be delayed today?
Phoenix → El Paso · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:38.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:38≈12:44
As of 11:59, AA4971 should push back about 12:44 (scheduled 12:38).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min
A usual afternoonAA4971's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−3
Phoenix is backing up38% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
American is running late today29% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 8 min late; yesterday this flight left 31 min late+2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈6−1 to 20
weather at Phoenixweather at El Pasostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Last 90 days
31on time
10late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4971 Phoenix to El Paso left within 15 minutes of schedule on 31 of its last 48 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 17. It wasn't cancelled once.