Will AA4978 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Fresno Yosemite · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 13:52.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:52≈13:55
As of 12:19, AA4978 should push back about 13:55 (scheduled 13:52).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonAA4978's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−3
Phoenix is backing up24% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
American is running late today24% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 19 min late; yesterday this flight left 129 min late+3
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈3−3 to 20
weather at Phoenixweather at Fresnostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 50Check again 13:07Phoenix time
Last 90 days
42on time
12late
6very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4978 Phoenix to Fresno left within 15 minutes of schedule on 42 of its last 61 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 18. It was cancelled once.