Will AA4981 be delayed today?
Chicago → South Bend · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Chicago time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:20≈19:17
As of 17:39, AA4981 should push back about 19:17 (scheduled 19:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min early
A usual eveningAA4981's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farChicago departures board−3
Chicago is running smoothly28% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−3−7 to 7
weather at Chicagoweather at South BendAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:35Chicago time
Last 90 days
20on time
3late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA4981 Chicago to South Bend left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 26 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It wasn't cancelled once.