Will AA4995 be delayed today?
Des Moines → Phoenix Sky Harbor · Fri 30 Oct · American Airlines
updated Des Moines time
Very likely, by about 50 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:29≈19:17
Lands19:29≈20:20
As of 17:59, AA4995 should push back about 19:17 (scheduled 18:29) and land about 20:20 (scheduled 19:29).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈50 min
A usual eveningAA4995's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your plane is likely running lateIt usually comes in as AA4995 from Phoenix, 50 min behind, due 18:49+26
Board shows no delay yetDes Moines departures board+4
More rain than usual at PhoenixFrom the TAF: 86% chance of rain at Phoenix today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 72% 15+ min late+2
Des Moines is running smoothly11% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−2
FAA ground delay program at PhoenixGround delay program at Phoenix, about 40 min+6
Leaves≈5015 to 95
Lost in the air+3
Lands≈50
weather at Des MoinesAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:49Des Moines time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
9on time
4late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S