Will AA5038 be delayed tomorrow?
Washington → Lynchburg-Preston Glenn Field · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Washington time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 07:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves07:30≈07:25
As of 17:49, AA5038 should push back about 07:25 (scheduled 07:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual morningAA5038's typical departure, last 90 days−4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at WashingtonFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−5−9 to 4
weather at Lynchburgdepartures at WashingtonAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 04:30Washington time
Last 90 days
65on time
12late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA5038 Washington to Lynchburg left within 15 minutes of schedule on 65 of its last 78 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 13. It wasn't cancelled once.