Will AA5040 be delayed tomorrow?
Memphis → Philadelphia · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Memphis time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:57.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:57≈11:55
Lands19:28≈19:16
As of 17:19, AA5040 should push back about 11:55 (scheduled 11:57) and land about 19:16 (scheduled 19:28).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual afternoonAA5040's typical departure, last 90 days0
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA5040 from Philadelphia, not departed yet0
American is running well today21% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 12 min early−2
Leaves≈−2−9 to 10
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−12
weather at Memphisweather at Philadelphiadepartures at Memphisstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 08:57Memphis time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
35on time
9late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA5040 Memphis to Philadelphia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 35 of its last 47 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.