Will AA5040 be delayed tomorrow?
Philadelphia → Memphis Frederick W. Smith · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:30≈09:25
Lands11:18≈11:10
As of 18:19, AA5040 should push back about 09:25 (scheduled 09:30) and land about 11:10 (scheduled 11:18).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual morningAA5040's typical departure, last 90 days−4
Your planeNot assigned yet. We usually see it from about 20:450
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈−5−11 to 1
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈−8
weather at Memphisdepartures at PhiladelphiaAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 20:45Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
69on time
5late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA5040 Philadelphia to Memphis left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 78 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 9. It wasn't cancelled once.