Will AA5227 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → Madison Dane County Truax Field · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
No. It should leave on time.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:10≈11:05
As of 09:39, AA5227 should push back about 11:05 (scheduled 11:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual morningAA5227's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane is on timeN589NN is coming from Toronto, due 09:41−1
On time on the board so farPhiladelphia departures board−2
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Philadelphia is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−5−10 to −1
weather at MadisonAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:41Philadelphia time
Last 90 days
45on time
11late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA5227 Philadelphia to Madison left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 66 flights, usually 2 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.