Will AA5615 be delayed tomorrow?
Montréal → Philadelphia · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Montréal time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:06.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:06≈12:05
Lands17:51≈17:37
As of 18:19, AA5615 should push back about 12:05 (scheduled 12:06) and land about 17:37 (scheduled 17:51).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual afternoonAA5615's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA5615 from Philadelphia, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at MontréalFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow. Arrivals there in the last hour: 4% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈−1−5 to 9
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−14
departures at MontréalAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 192Check again tomorrow 09:06Montréal time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
20on time
3late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA5615 Montréal to Philadelphia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 20 of its last 26 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 6. It wasn't cancelled once.