Will AA5812 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → Richmond · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:43.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:43≈17:38
Lands19:07≈18:57
As of 09:19, AA5812 should push back about 17:38 (scheduled 17:43) and land about 18:57 (scheduled 19:07).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual eveningAA5812's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your plane is on timeN923AE is coming from Roanoke, due 16:35−1
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry today−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−5−10 to 2
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈−10
weather at Richmonddepartures at PhiladelphiaAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:35Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
61on time
3late
17very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA5812 Philadelphia to Richmond left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 81 flights, usually 5 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 20. It wasn't cancelled once.