Will AA5868 be delayed tomorrow?
Buffalo → Philadelphia · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
updated Buffalo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:43.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:43≈09:42
Lands15:12≈15:04
As of 14:19, AA5868 should push back about 09:42 (scheduled 09:43) and land about 15:04 (scheduled 15:12).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min early
A usual morningAA5868's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA5868 from Philadelphia, not departed yet0
Calmer than usual at BuffaloFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−1−5 to 2
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−8
weather at Philadelphiadepartures at BuffaloAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 06:43Buffalo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
19on time
0late
2very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA5868 Buffalo to Philadelphia left within 15 minutes of schedule on 19 of its last 21 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.