Will AA5870 be delayed today?
Philadelphia → Buffalo Niagara · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Philadelphia time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:35≈17:31
Lands19:11≈19:02
As of 09:19, AA5870 should push back about 17:31 (scheduled 17:35) and land about 19:02 (scheduled 19:11).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min early
A usual eveningAA5870's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your plane is on timeN699AE is coming from Norfolk, due 16:500
Calmer than usual at PhiladelphiaFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Philadelphia is running smoothly7% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
American is running well today9% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 6 min early−2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−1
Leaves≈−4−8 to 4
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈−9
weather at Buffalostorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 16:50Philadelphia time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
21late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA5870 Philadelphia to Buffalo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 75 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It wasn't cancelled once.