Will AA645 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Maui Kahului · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Very likely, by about 210 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:06≈14:37
Lands14:33≈17:54
As of 11:59, AA645 should push back about 14:37 (scheduled 11:06) and land about 17:54 (scheduled 14:33).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈210 min
A usual morningAA645's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AA1983 from Miami, which has landed−2
The board already shows 204 min latePhoenix departures board+197
American is running late today29% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 13 min late; yesterday this flight left 93 min late+2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈210199 to 246
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈200
weather at Phoenixweather at Mauidepartures at Phoenixstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
70on time
8late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA645 Phoenix to Maui left within 15 minutes of schedule on 70 of its last 89 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It wasn't cancelled once.