Will AA821 be delayed today?
Chicago → San Francisco · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines
same answer since Chicago time
Maybe 15+ minutes late.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:10≈15:17Chicago time
Lands≈17:59San Francisco time
As of 03:49, AA821 should push back about 15:17 (scheduled 15:10) and land about 17:59 (scheduled 17:59).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual afternoonTypical for this time of day at Chicago; AA821 is new to us6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at ChicagoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Chicago is running smoothly74% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
FAA plan: delays possibleThe FAA's plan for today lists a possible ground stop or delay program at San Francisco+3
Leaves≈7−3 to 55
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈0
weather at San FranciscoAmerican Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
