Will AA853 be delayed today?
Phoenix → Dallas/Fort Worth · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines
updated Phoenix time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:02.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:02≈16:05
Lands20:30≈20:26
As of 11:59, AA853 should push back about 16:05 (scheduled 16:02) and land about 20:26 (scheduled 20:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonAA853's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane looks on timeIt usually comes in as AA765 from Philadelphia, due 15:05−3
On time on the board so farPhoenix departures board−1
More rain than usualFrom the TAF: 82% chance of rain at Phoenix today+1
Phoenix is backing up38% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
No FAA programsNone in force right now−2
Leaves≈3−3 to 16
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−4
weather at Dallas-Fort WorthAmerican todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 15:05Phoenix time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
26on time
7late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA853 Phoenix to Dallas-Fort Worth left within 15 minutes of schedule on 26 of its last 38 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.