Will AA8617 be delayed today?
Madrid → Hamburg Helmut Schmidt · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines · operated by Iberia as IB773
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:10.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:10≈12:15
Lands15:05≈15:03
As of 01:19, AA8617 should push back about 12:15 (scheduled 12:10) and land about 15:03 (scheduled 15:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonIB773's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈51 to 20
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈−2
weather at Hamburgdepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 09:10Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
51on time
11late
1very late
0cancelled
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AA8617 Madrid to Hamburg left within 15 minutes of schedule on 51 of its last 63 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.